Carbon dating flaws wiki
BACKGROUND It’s been quite a while since I’ve discussed why the diagnosis of feedbacks in the climate system (and thus climate sensitivity) from observations is biased toward high climate sensitivity.
It’s a controversial topic, one which we have a few published papers on, yet one I am more firmly convinced about than any other climate research I have ever published.
Obviously Canada is counting something that the EIA is not. The only question left to be answered is how fast will she decline?
Look for Canada’s production to decline substantially in 2016. There are several articles on the web about China’s decline, but they all say about the same thing. Mexico managed to stem their decline for a few months but their production has begun to decline again.
They have just released their latest data through February 2016.
All the data below is in thousand barrels per day and through February 2016 unless otherwise noted.
The above discussion is nowhere near exhaustive; I’m just trying to stimulate thought and discussion on an issue I feel very strongly about, that is: Albuquerque, NM Arlington, TX Atlanta, GA Austin, TX Baltimore, MD Boston, MA Charlotte, NC Chicago, IL Cleveland, OH Colorado Springs, CO Columbus, OH Dallas, TX Denver, CO Detroit, MI El Paso, TX Ft.
Worth, TX Fresno, CA Honolulu, HI Houston, TX Indianapolis, IN Jacksonville, FL Kansas City, MO Las Vegas, NV Long Beach, CA Los Angeles, CA Louisville, KY Memphis, TN Mesa, AZ Miami, FL Milwaukee, WI Minneapolis, MN Nashville, TN New Orleans, LA New York City, NY Oakland, CA Oklahoma City, OK Omaha, NE Philadelphia, PA Phoenix, AZ Portland, OR Sacramento, CA San Antonio, TX San Diego, CA San Francisco, CA San Jose, CA Seattle, WA Tucson, AZ Tulsa, OK Virginia Beach, VA Washington, D.
Our most complete analysis of the effect was described here.But when feedbacks are positive, the temperature changes are allowed to grow.So, the BIG temperature changes and their associated radiation changes during positive feedback events will dominate our observations of the climate system, while the small temperature changes during negative feedback events will be less noticeable.So with world production continuing to decline, there is little doubt that 2016 production will be well below 2015 production.
They have Non-OPEC peaking in March 2015 at 46,504,000 bpd and down by 925,000 bpd in February to 45,579,000 bpd. OPEC C C failed to breach its 2012 peak but did reach 34,562,000 bpd in July 2015 but by February 2016 it was down 488,000 bpd to 34,074,000 bpd. It looks exactly like Canada’s National Energy Board data except the EIA’s data is about 150,000 bpd less than Canada’s NEB shows.
The net result will be an average diagnosed feedback that is biased positive, that is, toward high climate sensitivity, because we are really only analyzing the big climate events that were allowed to grow due to positive feedbacks.